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002036:SZSELianChuang Electronic Technology Co.,Ltd Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

CN¥7.86

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

The 20‑day SMA (≈9.15) is higher than the 50‑day SMA (≈8.92) but both sit well below the 200‑day SMA (≈10.39), indicating a short‑term upward bias within a longer‑term downward trend. RSI is at 37.6, well under the 50‑point midpoint, and the MACD is negative with a bearish signal, signaling technical weakness. Volume is decreasing and the 30‑day volatility is extremely high at over 70%, while the fear‑greed index registers 89.86 (extreme greed), suggesting market over‑optimism. On the fundamentals side, revenue has shrunk by 24%, profit margins are negative, and the company runs a massive debt‑to‑equity ratio of over 800, coupled with negative ROE and ROA. The forward PE of 49.1 and price‑to‑book of 8.75 far exceed the industry PE average of 36.8, pointing to an overvalued pricing regime. Overall, the combination of weak earnings, heavy debt, bearish technical signals, and extreme market optimism creates a precarious outlook.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • bearish MACD and low RSI
  • decreasing volume and high volatility
  • negative profit margin and heavy debt

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • potential recovery in optics segment
  • high price‑to‑sales ratio indicating value pressure
  • moderate sector risk but persistent financial strain

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • extremely high debt‑to‑equity and negative cash flow
  • overextended valuation metrics
  • absence of dividend and deteriorating earnings

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-24.10%
Profit Margin-14.37%
P/E Ratio49.1
ROE-59.24%
ROA-2.44%
Debt/Equity818.49
P/B Ratio8.8
Op. Cash FlowCN¥350.3M
Free Cash FlowCN¥-370548128
Industry P/E36.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI37.7
SupportCN¥7.83
ResistanceCN¥10.93
MA 20CN¥9.15
MA 50CN¥8.92
MA 200CN¥10.39
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Target PriceCN¥8.37
Upside/Downside6.45%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.46
Volatility70.45%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.