002036:SZSELianChuang Electronic Technology Co.,Ltd Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time
CN¥7.86
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
The 20‑day SMA (≈9.15) is higher than the 50‑day SMA (≈8.92) but both sit well below the 200‑day SMA (≈10.39), indicating a short‑term upward bias within a longer‑term downward trend. RSI is at 37.6, well under the 50‑point midpoint, and the MACD is negative with a bearish signal, signaling technical weakness. Volume is decreasing and the 30‑day volatility is extremely high at over 70%, while the fear‑greed index registers 89.86 (extreme greed), suggesting market over‑optimism. On the fundamentals side, revenue has shrunk by 24%, profit margins are negative, and the company runs a massive debt‑to‑equity ratio of over 800, coupled with negative ROE and ROA. The forward PE of 49.1 and price‑to‑book of 8.75 far exceed the industry PE average of 36.8, pointing to an overvalued pricing regime. Overall, the combination of weak earnings, heavy debt, bearish technical signals, and extreme market optimism creates a precarious outlook.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- bearish MACD and low RSI
- decreasing volume and high volatility
- negative profit margin and heavy debt
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- potential recovery in optics segment
- high price‑to‑sales ratio indicating value pressure
- moderate sector risk but persistent financial strain
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- extremely high debt‑to‑equity and negative cash flow
- overextended valuation metrics
- absence of dividend and deteriorating earnings
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-24.10%
Profit Margin-14.37%
P/E Ratio49.1
ROE-59.24%
ROA-2.44%
Debt/Equity818.49
P/B Ratio8.8
Op. Cash FlowCN¥350.3M
Free Cash FlowCN¥-370548128
Industry P/E36.8
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI37.7
SupportCN¥7.83
ResistanceCN¥10.93
MA 20CN¥9.15
MA 50CN¥8.92
MA 200CN¥10.39
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Target PriceCN¥8.37
Upside/Downside6.45%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.46
Volatility70.45%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.