000807:SSEYunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-01 - not real-time
CN¥28.91
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Yunnan Aluminium is currently trading below its 20‑day moving average and under its 50‑day average, with the MACD in a bearish configuration and RSI sitting in the mid‑range, suggesting limited short‑term upside. The stock exhibits a neutral trend direction but faces elevated 30‑day volatility, while its beta remains below the market, indicating modest systematic risk.
Fundamentally, the company delivers solid top‑line growth, high return on equity, and strong operating cash generation that comfortably covers its debt, and a discounted cash flow valuation points to a substantial upside potential. The dividend yield is modest yet sustainable given the low payout ratio and ample cash balance.
Outlook is supported by broad-based demand for aluminum across multiple high‑growth industries, an attractive valuation relative to peers, and a stable liquidity profile, making the stock a compelling candidate for medium‑ to long‑term investors.
Fundamentally, the company delivers solid top‑line growth, high return on equity, and strong operating cash generation that comfortably covers its debt, and a discounted cash flow valuation points to a substantial upside potential. The dividend yield is modest yet sustainable given the low payout ratio and ample cash balance.
Outlook is supported by broad-based demand for aluminum across multiple high‑growth industries, an attractive valuation relative to peers, and a stable liquidity profile, making the stock a compelling candidate for medium‑ to long‑term investors.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price near short‑term support level
- bearish MACD histogram
- stable trading volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- substantial DCF upside
- strong earnings growth and ROE
- sustainable dividend with low payout
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- robust cash flow generation
- favorable industry demand for aluminum
- undervalued relative to intrinsic fair value
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth13.70%
Profit Margin14.00%
P/E Ratio11.5
ROE28.49%
ROA16.93%
Debt/Equity5.99
P/B Ratio2.8
Op. Cash FlowCN¥10.1B
Free Cash FlowCN¥6.4B
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI41.4
SupportCN¥28.32
ResistanceCN¥33.10
MA 20CN¥30.56
MA 50CN¥31.69
MA 200CN¥27.13
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.2
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥46.53
Target PriceCN¥37.48
Upside/Downside29.63%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.76%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.63
Volatility50.16%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.