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000807:SSEYunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-01 - not real-time

CN¥28.91

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Yunnan Aluminium is currently trading below its 20‑day moving average and under its 50‑day average, with the MACD in a bearish configuration and RSI sitting in the mid‑range, suggesting limited short‑term upside. The stock exhibits a neutral trend direction but faces elevated 30‑day volatility, while its beta remains below the market, indicating modest systematic risk.
Fundamentally, the company delivers solid top‑line growth, high return on equity, and strong operating cash generation that comfortably covers its debt, and a discounted cash flow valuation points to a substantial upside potential. The dividend yield is modest yet sustainable given the low payout ratio and ample cash balance.
Outlook is supported by broad-based demand for aluminum across multiple high‑growth industries, an attractive valuation relative to peers, and a stable liquidity profile, making the stock a compelling candidate for medium‑ to long‑term investors.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price near short‑term support level
  • bearish MACD histogram
  • stable trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • substantial DCF upside
  • strong earnings growth and ROE
  • sustainable dividend with low payout

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • robust cash flow generation
  • favorable industry demand for aluminum
  • undervalued relative to intrinsic fair value

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth13.70%
Profit Margin14.00%
P/E Ratio11.5
ROE28.49%
ROA16.93%
Debt/Equity5.99
P/B Ratio2.8
Op. Cash FlowCN¥10.1B
Free Cash FlowCN¥6.4B

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI41.4
SupportCN¥28.32
ResistanceCN¥33.10
MA 20CN¥30.56
MA 50CN¥31.69
MA 200CN¥27.13
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.2

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥46.53
Target PriceCN¥37.48
Upside/Downside29.63%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.76%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.63
Volatility50.16%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.