000776:SZSEGF Securities Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-01 - not real-time
CN¥21.36
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
GF Securities is trading near its short‑term moving average, with the price comfortably above the 20‑day SMA and the 50‑day SMA, reinforcing a bullish technical backdrop. The MACD line sits below its signal line and the histogram is negative, suggesting modest near‑term pressure, while volume has been tapering, tempering momentum.
Fundamentally, the stock appears substantially undervalued relative to its discounted cash‑flow estimate, with a strong revenue growth profile, high gross and operating margins, and a healthy dividend yield supported by a modest payout ratio and ample cash reserves. The combination of attractive valuation, solid earnings quality, and a resilient dividend makes the stock a compelling buy for investors with medium to long horizons.
Fundamentally, the stock appears substantially undervalued relative to its discounted cash‑flow estimate, with a strong revenue growth profile, high gross and operating margins, and a healthy dividend yield supported by a modest payout ratio and ample cash reserves. The combination of attractive valuation, solid earnings quality, and a resilient dividend makes the stock a compelling buy for investors with medium to long horizons.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price positioned above the 20‑day SMA
- MACD histogram negative indicating short‑term weakness
- decreasing volume suggesting caution
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value considerably above current price
- robust revenue growth and high profitability margins
- strong cash position relative to debt
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- sustained earnings growth trajectory
- dividend yield with low payout ratio supporting sustainability
- sector tailwinds in capital markets and wealth management
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth70.10%
Profit Margin39.15%
P/E Ratio11.1
ROE10.24%
ROA1.76%
Debt/Equity290.43
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash FlowCN¥4.8B
Industry P/E18.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI45.9
SupportCN¥20.65
ResistanceCN¥24.42
MA 20CN¥22.14
MA 50CN¥21.30
MA 200CN¥21.26
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥37.61
Target PriceCN¥27.13
Upside/Downside26.99%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.81%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.51
Volatility56.35%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.