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000166:SZSEShenwan Hongyuan Group Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

CN¥4.53

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Price action is hovering just above a key support level while the broader trend remains bearish, yet the MACD has turned bullish and the RSI sits in the middle range, suggesting limited downside pressure. Low beta and a stable volume profile point to modest volatility, and the stock trades at a price‑to‑earnings multiple well below the sector average, with a price‑to‑book ratio close to parity and a modest dividend yield supported by a low payout ratio. However, the balance sheet is heavily leveraged, with a debt‑to‑equity ratio that is markedly high and operating cash flow running negative, raising concerns about long‑term financial resilience.
Given this mix of attractive valuation metrics and significant leverage risk, the short‑term view leans toward a cautious hold, the medium‑term outlook favors a selective buy on the expectation of earnings improvement and debt reduction, while the long‑term perspective remains neutral pending clearer signs of cash‑flow generation and dividend sustainability.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support
  • Bearish trend despite bullish MACD hint
  • Low beta limiting short‑term swings

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation below industry peers
  • Revenue growth and strong margins
  • Potential for debt reduction and earnings improvement

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • High leverage and negative cash flow
  • Uncertain dividend sustainability
  • Sector cyclicality and regulatory environment

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth11.90%
Profit Margin37.56%
P/E Ratio11.6
ROE7.82%
ROA1.52%
Debt/Equity253.77
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash FlowCN¥-24579977216
Industry P/E16.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI53.8
SupportCN¥4.23
ResistanceCN¥4.62
MA 20CN¥4.42
MA 50CN¥4.59
MA 200CN¥5.07
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Target PriceCN¥6.38
Upside/Downside40.79%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.79%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.29
Volatility20.58%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.