000166:SZSEShenwan Hongyuan Group Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
CN¥4.53
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Price action is hovering just above a key support level while the broader trend remains bearish, yet the MACD has turned bullish and the RSI sits in the middle range, suggesting limited downside pressure. Low beta and a stable volume profile point to modest volatility, and the stock trades at a price‑to‑earnings multiple well below the sector average, with a price‑to‑book ratio close to parity and a modest dividend yield supported by a low payout ratio. However, the balance sheet is heavily leveraged, with a debt‑to‑equity ratio that is markedly high and operating cash flow running negative, raising concerns about long‑term financial resilience.
Given this mix of attractive valuation metrics and significant leverage risk, the short‑term view leans toward a cautious hold, the medium‑term outlook favors a selective buy on the expectation of earnings improvement and debt reduction, while the long‑term perspective remains neutral pending clearer signs of cash‑flow generation and dividend sustainability.
Given this mix of attractive valuation metrics and significant leverage risk, the short‑term view leans toward a cautious hold, the medium‑term outlook favors a selective buy on the expectation of earnings improvement and debt reduction, while the long‑term perspective remains neutral pending clearer signs of cash‑flow generation and dividend sustainability.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support
- Bearish trend despite bullish MACD hint
- Low beta limiting short‑term swings
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Valuation below industry peers
- Revenue growth and strong margins
- Potential for debt reduction and earnings improvement
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- High leverage and negative cash flow
- Uncertain dividend sustainability
- Sector cyclicality and regulatory environment
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth11.90%
Profit Margin37.56%
P/E Ratio11.6
ROE7.82%
ROA1.52%
Debt/Equity253.77
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash FlowCN¥-24579977216
Industry P/E16.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI53.8
SupportCN¥4.23
ResistanceCN¥4.62
MA 20CN¥4.42
MA 50CN¥4.59
MA 200CN¥5.07
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Target PriceCN¥6.38
Upside/Downside40.79%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.79%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.29
Volatility20.58%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.