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000088:SZSEShenzhen Yan Tian Port Holdings Co.,Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time

CN¥4.34

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Shenzhen Yan Tian Port Holdings is trading at CNY 4.34, which sits above its 20‑day SMA (4.42) and well above the DCF‑derived fair value of roughly CNY 1.15, indicating a significant overvaluation. The stock’s PE ratio of about 15 is comfortably below the industry average of 30, suggesting a relative value appeal, yet the bearish MACD histogram and price lingering below all major moving averages signal continued downside pressure. Revenue growth remains healthy at 13.2% YoY, but margins are razor‑thin (operating margin Given these dynamics, the near‑term outlook leans toward further price correction, while the medium‑term may see stabilization if the company can improve cash generation. Long‑term prospects hinge on the strategic importance of the Yantian port hub and potential traffic growth, but balance‑sheet remediation will be essential before the stock can be considered an attractive buy.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and price below all major moving averages
  • Current price exceeds DCF fair value by a wide margin
  • Unsustainable dividend payout amid negative free cash flow

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth but thin profitability
  • High debt load limiting financial flexibility
  • Stable liquidity and attractive dividend yield if sustained

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic location of Yantian port supporting long‑term traffic growth
  • Need for balance‑sheet improvement to secure dividend and earnings
  • Low beta indicating limited market‑wide risk exposure

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth13.20%
Profit Margin167.45%
P/E Ratio15.0
ROE7.61%
ROA0.28%
Debt/Equity13.94
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash FlowCN¥480.2M
Free Cash FlowCN¥-2311619072
Industry P/E30.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI42.0
SupportCN¥4.17
ResistanceCN¥4.59
MA 20CN¥4.42
MA 50CN¥4.51
MA 200CN¥4.53
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index86.64

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥1.15
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.17%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.15
Volatility17.13%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.