000069:SSEShenzhen Overseas Chinese Town Co.,Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-27 - not real-time
CN¥1.78
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Shenzhen Overseas Chinese Town Co.,Ltd. trades at ¥1.78, with its moving averages tangled rather than clearly stacked — a neutral trend structure. The last 30 days have gained 4.1%. With RSI at 50.6 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Watch ¥1.72 as support and ¥1.98 as the nearer resistance level.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. Analyst price targets sit 40.4% above the current price. Revenue is contracting at 24.6% on a -48.1% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 38.3%, a beta of 0.32 and a maximum drawdown of 44.7%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 2 out of 10.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. Analyst price targets sit 40.4% above the current price. Revenue is contracting at 24.6% on a -48.1% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 38.3%, a beta of 0.32 and a maximum drawdown of 44.7%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 2 out of 10.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 2.23
- MACD momentum is negative
- Maximum drawdown of 44.7%
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 2.23
- Analyst targets imply +40.4% versus the current price
- MACD momentum is negative
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Negative profit margin of -48.1%
- Analyst targets imply +40.4% versus the current price
- Negative return on equity of -29.7%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-24.60%
Profit Margin-48.05%
P/E Ratio-3.6
ROE-29.74%
ROA-1.96%
Debt/Equity217.40
P/B Ratio0.4
Op. Cash FlowCN¥10.6B
Free Cash FlowCN¥12.4B
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI50.6
SupportCN¥1.72
ResistanceCN¥1.98
MA 20CN¥1.80
MA 50CN¥1.73
MA 200CN¥2.23
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.27
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥7.49
Target PriceCN¥2.50
Upside/Downside40.45%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.32
Volatility38.25%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.